Military Decision Making Made Easy

Monday, May 12, 2014

Command Post of the Past: We will likely witness an enormous proliferation of ‘low intensity’ conflicts. These ‘low intensity’ wars are already on the rise, above all in the so-called failed states on the periphery of the planet and sometimes on the peripheries of the major metropolises. Failed states are those whose power structures are incapable of controlling their entire territory, where in many cases there is a proliferation of ‘warlords’ and the private security forces of multinational corporations (Fernández Durán, 2010). The number of failed states in the world will likely increase in the next two decades because of the growing series of crises that state structures will have to manage. Undoubtedly the newest states, the weakest, the most peripheral, states with the most complex ethnic–social realities and with fewer resources, will be the most likely to succumb. Or, in some cases, those that have precious resources but are weak, without capacity for autonomy or defence in the face of the rapacity of the most powerful.

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